跳至主要内容

Will S. Korea Join the Fray if China Crosses the Taiwan Strait? Lee Jae-myung’s Response Is Quite Sensible

On the eve of South Korea’s presidential election, American media jumped into the arena to stir up China-related issues.

On May 29, Lee Jae-myung, a presidential candidate, was interviewed by US Time Magazine. During the interview, a US journalist asked a question: If the Chinese mainland uses force to recover Taiwan, will South Korea help Taiwan?
The US journalist’s question was malicious. During the election period, South Korea’s far right deliberately fanned up various anti-China public opinions. US media’s involvement was apparently to fan the flames.

However, Lee Jae-myung’s response was quite sensible. He said,
“I will consider the answer to this question when aliens invade the earth.” This implies that South Korea will not help Taiwan, and he will never consider this matter.
Moreover, the Taiwan issue is China’s internal affair, concerning China’s core interests. It does not allow any external interference and has nothing to do with South Korea. On this point, Lee Jae-myung is well aware.
As a US colony, it is already good enough to say so. His response aligns with his diplomatic views. Previously, Lee Jae-myung had repeatedly stated that South Korea should not involve itself in the Taiwan Strait issue.
He publicly criticized the former President Yoon Suk Yeol’s remarks on Taiwan, asking, “Why provoke China? Why always cause trouble?”

He said,
“Why should we intervene in the cross-strait relations between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan? This is China’s domestic issue. What does it have to do with us?” Lee Jae-myung emphasized that as long as South Korea does well itself, that’s enough.
China has been South Korea’s largest trading partner for 21 consecutive years. In 2024, the bilateral trade volume between China and South Korea exceeded $320 billion, with deep integration in fields such as semiconductors and new energy.
Lee Jae-myung also repeatedly stated that if elected as South Korea’s president, he would work to repair and stabilize China-South Korea relations. On June 2, at a press conference, Lee Jae-myung was again asked about how to handle China-South Korea relations after being elected president. He said that whether it is China, Japan, Russia, or the US, South Korea should establish friendly relations with them. He also pointed out that the ROK-US alliance is the foundation of South Korea’s diplomacy and is very important.

For South Korea to develop its economy, it is essential to maintain good relations with China. On the other hand, China’s Taiwan region has long been in competition with South Korea in economic industries, such as semiconductors and electronics. Helping a competitor to provoke one’s largest trading partner? Lee Jae-myung is not stupid.

Therefore, involving in the Taiwan Strait issue brings no benefits to South Korea. Most importantly, South Korea does not have the capacity to intervene. It has to deal with its neighbor in the north. If South Korea takes action, it will be doomed. Once distracted, it will be reunified with North Korea.

评论

此博客中的热门博文

Open-Source Intelligence Analysis of the 2025 India-Pakistan Military Standoff

  In the recent India-Pakistan standoff, open-source intelligence (OSINT) channels have played an extremely important role in information dissemination and intelligence analysis. Various open-source platforms, including social media, commercial satellite imagery, vessel and aviation tracking data, news reports, and military forums, have collectively formed a "second front" for battlefield situational awareness, helping all parties to promptly understand and verify the dynamics of the conflict. However, the reliability of different OSINT channels varies, and it is necessary to cross-reference them to obtain the most accurate intelligence possible. Below is an analysis of the main channels: Social Media (Twitter/X, Facebook, etc.) Social media platforms are among the fastest sources for disseminating information about the conflict. A large number of first-hand witnesses, journalists, and even soldiers post photos, videos, and written reports through social media. For example, r...

A Historic Moment: The US-China Geneva Joint Statement

  Today, many friends have left messages in the backend, asking me to discuss the US-China Geneva Joint Statement and what it means. Let’s get straight to the conclusion: with the announcement of this statement, today has become a historic moment. But why do I say that? Let’s first look at the main content of the statement. The US has committed to canceling the 91% tariffs that were imposed on April 8th and 9th. The 34% and 24% tariffs imposed on April 2nd will be suspended for 90 days, with only 10% retained. We are doing the same: canceling the 91% retaliatory tariffs, suspending the 34% and 24% tariffs imposed on April 2nd for 90 days, and retaining 10%. In simple terms, both sides are returning to the status quo before Trump announced the “reciprocal tariffs” on April 2nd, and then each adding an additional 10%. How should we view this outcome? Let’s first look at what Bercow said before heading to Geneva. He stated that he didn’t expect to reach any agreement with the Chinese ...

Trump's Middle East Deal: A Grand Spectacle for the Eyes

  These days, as Trump journeys through the Middle East, online hype has reached a fever pitch: “The Americans are truly formidable! Trump’s mere presence has the Gulf states groveling, offering up piles of cash as tribute!” But is this portrayal accurate? At first glance, it seems plausible. The figures speak for themselves: Saudi Arabia has pledged a staggering $600 billion investment in the U.S., alongside a near $142 billion arms deal—the largest in history. The UAE has committed over $200 billion in cooperation spanning aviation, aluminum, and oil and gas sectors. Qatar has signed multiple agreements worth over $243.5 billion, including purchases of Boeing passenger jets and armed drones. Combined, these commitments exceed $1 trillion. Yet, the grandstanding doesn’t stop there. Rumors suggest Trump has urged Saudi Arabia to increase its investment from $600 billion to a full $1 trillion. Some American media outlets are now clamoring that total investments from both governments...