跳至主要内容

How an Empire Hilariously and Tragically Sealed Its Own Fate: The U.S. Shipbuilding Blunder

Following my piece on the decline of U.S. shipbuilding and its crippling impact on the Navy (delays plaguing everything from carriers to frigates – see [The Recent Development America Dreaded Most Has Happened Again!]), let's delve deeper into the post-WWII shipbuilding wars. Forget chasing fleeting algorithms; this is a story worth telling. This is Part 1 of a 4-part series.

Our tale begins not in triumph, but in the aftermath of WWI, around 1917-1918. While crowds in London, Paris, and Washington D.C. cheered the Armistice, one man clenched his teeth. His long-awaited moment had arrived.

1. The "Ingrates" and the Birth of a Fateful Law

That man was Wesley Jones, a senior Republican Senator from Washington State. Soon, he would rise to become the Senate Republican Whip – the party enforcer responsible for discipline and ensuring members "toed the line." (Think House of Cards, but arguably with more genuine national interest at the time).

Jones was furious at whom he saw as European "ingrates." Before WWI, European shipping lines had profited handsomely from bustling U.S. ports and even inland waterways, leveraging America's higher wages. Then war broke out. Almost overnight, these ships vanished – recalled to serve their homelands.

The U.S., despite its economic might, lacked a robust domestic shipbuilding industry or major global shipping lines (a weakness persisting today). The sudden withdrawal caused economic chaos: shipping costs soared, businesses howled. Matters worsened when the U.S. entered the war and struggled desperately to find troop transports, especially suitable liners.

Jones bided his time until the guns fell silent. He spearheaded legislation targeting these "fair-weather friends." After debate and revisions, the Merchant Marine Act of 1920 – forever known as the Jones Act – became law.

What did the Jones Act mandate?

  1. Build American: Ships moving cargo between U.S. ports must be built in U.S. shipyards.

  2. Own American: They must be U.S.-owned and registered.

  3. Crew American: At least 75% of the crew must be U.S. citizens.

  4. Serve the Government: U.S. shipyards cannot refuse government repair requests. (Why this? During WWI, U.S. yards, lured by higher profits, prioritized lucrative European repair contracts over urgent U.S. military needs, causing delays.)

The intent seemed noble: punish perceived disloyalty and secure America's maritime future. History, however, is full of tragic ironies. Well-meaning, seemingly logical policies can become catastrophic blunders. The Jones Act was such a blunder – though no one realized it then. Jones was hailed as a patriot, later becoming Republican Whip.

2. WWII Boom: The Mirage of Power

Fast forward 20+ years. WWII erupts. Japan bombs Pearl Harbor. The U.S. needs ships – vast numbers of them – but its shipbuilding base is weak.

The response was monumental:

  • Total Mobilization: Factories of all kinds converted to war production, including shipbuilding.

  • Rapid Expansion: New shipyards and dry docks sprang up overnight.

The results were staggering:

  • Liberty Ships: 7,000-ton cargo vessels built at an average pace of 39 days per ship. Over 2,700 were launched in just over 3 years.

  • Warships: An unprecedented naval armada. By August 1945, the U.S. Navy boasted:

    • Over 6,768 active warships.

    • More than 100 aircraft carriers.

    • Nearly 5,777 ocean-going merchant and naval auxiliary ships.

    • Total: Over 10,000 vessels.


  • Dominance: U.S. shipyards accounted for roughly 90% of global wartime ship production. The sheer scale was mind-boggling – inducing "trypophobia" (fear of密集 clusters) from the air.

Yet, this supremacy vanished almost as quickly as it appeared. Post-war, the industry collapsed, losing its global lead and reverting to its pre-war state. Why?

3. The Bust: Victory's Bitter Pill

The answer is simple: They overbuilt catastrophically.

The U.S. had expected the war to drag into 1947 or 1948. They prepared accordingly. Then came three stunning, unanticipated blows that ended the war early:

  1. General Curtis LeMay's Devastating Firebombing Campaign: "LeMay's Barbecue" ravaged Japanese cities, crippling morale and industry.


  2. The Atomic Bombs: Top-secret weapons (unknown even to VP Truman until FDR's death) that shattered Japan's will to fight.

  3. The Soviet Invasion of Manchuria: The million-strong Soviet assault crushed Japan's elite Kwantung Army in a week.

Japan surrendered. America looked at its colossal fleet: utterly superfluous.

What to do with 10,000+ ships?

  • Mothball some.

  • Sell others at fire-sale prices.

  • Give many away to avoid upkeep costs. Even Chiang Kai-shek received 8 warships gratis (his navy was decimated – at China's 1945 victory parade, sailors carried a sign reading "Navy" because they had no ships left! Side note: The decrepit Philippine landing vessel grounded at Second Thomas Shoal? A WWII relic gifted by the U.S.).

The result was market saturation. Every potential customer now had cheap or free ships. Why order new ones? With war contracts gone and the Navy shrinking, U.S. shipyards faced ruin. They shut down or pivoted to other industries.

Did Americans grasp the long-term consequences? No. Only later, when expertise and infrastructure vanished, making a WWII-scale remobilization impossible, did regret set in: "We should have let those surplus ships rot rather than destroy our own industry!" But hindsight offers no remedies.

As U.S. yards closed, one nation was poised to benefit spectacularly.

4. Britain's Accidental Windfall

Enter Britain. Historically, Britain was the true shipbuilding hegemon, consistently outperforming the U.S. except during the brief WWII surge. Even Liberty Ships proved more efficient in British yards (336,000 labor-hours vs. 486,000 in the U.S.).


Why did Britain cede the top spot during the war? Simple prioritization. Fighting for survival, Britain funneled steel, machinery, and skilled labor into tanks, guns, and ammunition – essentials for the land war. Shipbuilding, while vital, couldn't match the U.S.'s all-out, resource-unconstrained effort.

Now, as American yards died, fate intervened. The first post-war shipbuilding supercycle arrived, fueled primarily by:

  1. The Marshall Plan (1948-1951): America's massive investment rebuilt war-torn Europe. Economic recovery meant soaring demand for shipping.

  2. Reichsmarschall Hermann Göring's Oversight: The Luftwaffe commander, obsessed with terror-bombing London and airfields, largely ignored Britain's strategically located shipyards in northern England and Scotland. These crucial facilities survived remarkably intact. Contrast this with the utter devastation of German, Italian, and French yards.

The result? A "heaven-sent bonanza" for Britain. From 1946 to 1955, British shipyards captured over 50% of the global market share. The British Empire experienced a final, glorious maritime renaissance.

American shipbuilders could only watch in dismay. The industry they abandoned just before the boom was now reaping unimaginable profits. Regret was useless. The Jones Act, designed decades earlier to punish Europe and protect America, now shackled any potential comeback. Building ships in the U.S. cost 20-30% more than in Britain. They were hopelessly uncompetitive.

The crown of global shipbuilding passed decisively from America. Its military shipbuilding, now isolated and deprived of a vibrant commercial base, began its long, perhaps inevitable, decline. The only cold comfort for Americans? Britain's reign wouldn't last long. A new, even more formidable challenger was stirring, soon to shatter British dominance. The shipbuilding wars were far from over.

评论

此博客中的热门博文

Why China's Seizure of Three Tunnel Boring Machines Has India’s Bullet Train Project Stuck in Neutral

June 24, IndiaNet – India’s first high-speed rail line, the Mumbai-Ahmedabad bullet train, has hit yet another roadblock. Three massive tunnel-boring machines (TBMs), ordered from Germany’s Herrenknecht AG but manufactured in Guangzhou, China, have been stuck in Chinese customs for eight months. The delay has frozen progress on a critical 12-kilometer undersea tunnel, marking the project’s ninth major setback. The Stuck Machines The TBMs were supposed to arrive in India by October 2024. Instead, they sit in a bonded warehouse in Guangzhou, with no clear timeline for release. India’s National High-Speed Rail Corporation (NHSRC) blames Beijing for “deliberate obstruction,” while Chinese authorities remain silent. The Mumbai-Ahmedabad corridor—India’s first bullet train, modeled on Japan’s Shinkansen—was supposed to slash travel time between the two cities from 7 hours to 2. Funded largely by a ¥1.25 trillion ($15 billion) Japanese loan at 0.1% interest over 50 years , the project was sl...

Open-Source Intelligence Analysis of the 2025 India-Pakistan Military Standoff

  In the recent India-Pakistan standoff, open-source intelligence (OSINT) channels have played an extremely important role in information dissemination and intelligence analysis. Various open-source platforms, including social media, commercial satellite imagery, vessel and aviation tracking data, news reports, and military forums, have collectively formed a "second front" for battlefield situational awareness, helping all parties to promptly understand and verify the dynamics of the conflict. However, the reliability of different OSINT channels varies, and it is necessary to cross-reference them to obtain the most accurate intelligence possible. Below is an analysis of the main channels: Social Media (Twitter/X, Facebook, etc.) Social media platforms are among the fastest sources for disseminating information about the conflict. A large number of first-hand witnesses, journalists, and even soldiers post photos, videos, and written reports through social media. For example, r...

A Historic Moment: The US-China Geneva Joint Statement

  Today, many friends have left messages in the backend, asking me to discuss the US-China Geneva Joint Statement and what it means. Let’s get straight to the conclusion: with the announcement of this statement, today has become a historic moment. But why do I say that? Let’s first look at the main content of the statement. The US has committed to canceling the 91% tariffs that were imposed on April 8th and 9th. The 34% and 24% tariffs imposed on April 2nd will be suspended for 90 days, with only 10% retained. We are doing the same: canceling the 91% retaliatory tariffs, suspending the 34% and 24% tariffs imposed on April 2nd for 90 days, and retaining 10%. In simple terms, both sides are returning to the status quo before Trump announced the “reciprocal tariffs” on April 2nd, and then each adding an additional 10%. How should we view this outcome? Let’s first look at what Bercow said before heading to Geneva. He stated that he didn’t expect to reach any agreement with the Chinese ...