跳至主要内容

A Storm Is Looming on the Horizon


Today, I spent a good part of the day catching up on the news, and there was one particularly interesting piece that caught my eye.

In the first quarter of 2025, the initial estimate for the U.S. GDP growth rate came in at -0.3%, below the expected +0.3%. This number is significant because it marks the lowest GDP growth rate since the second quarter of 2022 and the first negative figure since then. Previous dips into negative territory were largely due to the pandemic. This suggests that the U.S. economy is already starting to contract—a storm is brewing on the horizon.
But other than that, there’s not much else worth mentioning.
As I’ve explained before, during Biden’s four years in office, even though things often went wrong, there was still a certain structure and predictability to their actions. They followed a playbook, even if it wasn’t always successful.
But with Trump back in the White House, it’s like all the rules have gone out the window. It’s total chaos—actions are taken on a whim, without any real strategy.
It feels a bit like watching a sports match. Before, even if the performance wasn’t great, it was at least at a provincial or municipal level. Now, it’s like a free-for-all, with people who don’t even understand the basics stepping onto the field. It’s not even at a village level anymore.
To be honest, it’s really hard to write about this administration. Their actions are so erratic that it’s difficult to make sense of them.
I’ll leave it at that for today. There’s not much more to say about this situation.

评论

发表评论

此博客中的热门博文

Why China's Seizure of Three Tunnel Boring Machines Has India’s Bullet Train Project Stuck in Neutral

June 24, IndiaNet – India’s first high-speed rail line, the Mumbai-Ahmedabad bullet train, has hit yet another roadblock. Three massive tunnel-boring machines (TBMs), ordered from Germany’s Herrenknecht AG but manufactured in Guangzhou, China, have been stuck in Chinese customs for eight months. The delay has frozen progress on a critical 12-kilometer undersea tunnel, marking the project’s ninth major setback. The Stuck Machines The TBMs were supposed to arrive in India by October 2024. Instead, they sit in a bonded warehouse in Guangzhou, with no clear timeline for release. India’s National High-Speed Rail Corporation (NHSRC) blames Beijing for “deliberate obstruction,” while Chinese authorities remain silent. The Mumbai-Ahmedabad corridor—India’s first bullet train, modeled on Japan’s Shinkansen—was supposed to slash travel time between the two cities from 7 hours to 2. Funded largely by a ¥1.25 trillion ($15 billion) Japanese loan at 0.1% interest over 50 years , the project was sl...
发表评论
阅读全文

Open-Source Intelligence Analysis of the 2025 India-Pakistan Military Standoff

  In the recent India-Pakistan standoff, open-source intelligence (OSINT) channels have played an extremely important role in information dissemination and intelligence analysis. Various open-source platforms, including social media, commercial satellite imagery, vessel and aviation tracking data, news reports, and military forums, have collectively formed a "second front" for battlefield situational awareness, helping all parties to promptly understand and verify the dynamics of the conflict. However, the reliability of different OSINT channels varies, and it is necessary to cross-reference them to obtain the most accurate intelligence possible. Below is an analysis of the main channels: Social Media (Twitter/X, Facebook, etc.) Social media platforms are among the fastest sources for disseminating information about the conflict. A large number of first-hand witnesses, journalists, and even soldiers post photos, videos, and written reports through social media. For example, r...
发表评论
阅读全文

A Historic Moment: The US-China Geneva Joint Statement

  Today, many friends have left messages in the backend, asking me to discuss the US-China Geneva Joint Statement and what it means. Let’s get straight to the conclusion: with the announcement of this statement, today has become a historic moment. But why do I say that? Let’s first look at the main content of the statement. The US has committed to canceling the 91% tariffs that were imposed on April 8th and 9th. The 34% and 24% tariffs imposed on April 2nd will be suspended for 90 days, with only 10% retained. We are doing the same: canceling the 91% retaliatory tariffs, suspending the 34% and 24% tariffs imposed on April 2nd for 90 days, and retaining 10%. In simple terms, both sides are returning to the status quo before Trump announced the “reciprocal tariffs” on April 2nd, and then each adding an additional 10%. How should we view this outcome? Let’s first look at what Bercow said before heading to Geneva. He stated that he didn’t expect to reach any agreement with the Chinese ...
发表评论
阅读全文